Tom,
Thanks for the data.
Here are some problems with the data. I believe "effort" here is defined by days spent fishing in relation to catch (which really isn't the number of fish caught during an outing but number of fish brought to dock i.e. landings). This definition of "effort" is flawed because it does not account total hours spent on the water, number of hooks in the water, nor (and most importantly) the number of fish released. With this flawed definition of effort, a boat fishing one rod for an hour while catching 20 stripers and keeping a limit of 2 fish put forth the same effort as an boat running 16 rods with planer boards for 10hrs while only catching 2 fish of which both fish were kept.
Under these examples, it is obvious that fish were more abundant for the first boat and far less abundant for the second boat, but the "effort" definition would say that fish were equally abundant in both situation which of course they were not. In my mind this one reason the "science" is failing to show the actual decline of the species.
Another phenomenon that the current "effort" definition fails to account for is the "information age". In today's world anglers follow websites, facebook, text, cell phone, etc to keep track of when, where and if fish are biting. Prior to the information age, word of good or bad fishing spread much slower and in tighter circles. For example, a hot bite at the CBBT in today's world is spread to 1,000s of anglers the day it happens which lessons the real "effort" put forth by anglers to catch fish as compared to 15yrs ago. If the bite is poor, anglers will not fish which gives a false representation of "effort" as defined. Effort is based on the availability of fish much more so than the effects of the economy and gas prices.
A longer term sustainable fishery is critical to my livelihood. I am much more in favor taking conservative harvests in the present to insure a healthy fishery for the future. Too much, in fisheries, the opposite approach is taken which may be more "popular" at the time it is enacted but in the long run leads to the demise of all.
Chris



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