Dunno. The guy yapping on the Chesapeake Angler (the M.D.) board says all of the fish (80%) are gone. Been caught up. And its the VA and NC who's at fault. Go figure.
I've had several conversations with state officials, federal law enforcement folks and experienced anglers over the past few days, each of whom is much more knowledgeable than me about the Striper fishery. These talks have sent a chill down my spine. I apologize for the long post, but this topic really strikes a nerve as I think about whether my kids will be robbed of a chance to enjoy a fishery that we are so selfishly pushing to the brink right now. I've experienced one moratorium and cannot believe how quickly we are allowing ourselves to stumble like bumbling idiots into another.
VB, you're right to bring up the blaming VA and NC thing. I'm one of those who has made a remark or two about what I see as the irresponsible take of big fish along the coast, particularly in winter when they're most concentrated and subject to overexploitation. I've made remarks about the reports of so many folks down there breaking the law to get fish (either over the limit or over the line). Maybe all of that is even true. But we need to work together if we want a decent chance of having any decent fishery in a few years. All of us...Marylanders like me, Virginians, Tarheels, Yankees up in Mass., R.I., N.Y....if the Striped Bass population is in as much trouble as the combined data and observation are now indicating, then it likely got that way due to the actions (and inaction) of all of us in some measure. So let's stop the blame game and get to work as recreational anglers who presumably all would like a sustained fishery for ourselves and their kids.
First, let's admit that we likely have a problem. Of course, fisheries science isn't perfect. Maybe all the fish are simply "outside the line." Maybe not. All we can do is go on what information we have, and that information is not presently encouraging. ASMFC's own data shows that two years ago adult Striped Bass were declining at a significant rate while fewer juvenile Stripers were being recruited into the system. Have we been catching s smaller percentage of the big fish population since then? Has Striper spawning success improved since that time? You and I know the answers to that.
Very recently, the NOAA trawler that conducts an annual Striped Bass survey along the Virginia and NC coasts caught exactly THREE striped bass out of over 80 net hauls. That's three, TOTAL, up and down the VA and NC coast. Past numbers have been in the thousands.
Some of the region's most experienced charter, guides and private anglers are saying the same thing: the numbers of large Stripers are decreasing dramatically from a peak in around 2002-2004. Their catch reports line up strikingly well with where the ASMFC's chart points.
To top it all off, the assumed commercial take -- which was thought to be significantly smaller than the rec take -- turns out to be much larger than the officials thought, thanks to rampant poaching. The total commercial take, it turns out, is really anyone's guess at this point. In addition to other recent high profile busts, I have a good feeling that some NC trawlers are in for a rude awakening soon, but they may have already done so much damage, if half of the rumors turn out to be true, that the resource could take a decade to recover from that alone.
Yet we hear the same tired chorus that is sung each time someone sounds the alarm about a popular species. The most popular tune is to blame a down year (or two, or three) on the weather. "We have just as many fish, they're just somewhere else." "It's too cold," "too warm," or in the upper-Bay, "too fresh" or "too salty." Funny thing is, '03 and '04 were colder than this January according to VA Beach weather records, yet the NOAA boat and anglers alike seemed to do pretty well inside three miles and at the CBBT those years, unless everyone was lying back then.
The other major excuse is to blame the problem on someone else. For us, it's easy to blame the comms. One net haul can catch more Stripers than the best charter captain can get in a week, even if the charter cheats. Plus, we're finding out about rampant poaching in the comm industry. To be sure, the comm industry probably IS a huge problem.
But we will have trouble making our case about comms if we're not also willing to share some of the blame and adjust accordingly. Comms or no comms, what fishery has ever sustained the type of kill pressure on its largest breeders that we recs put on Stripers from Maine to NC, from beyond 3-miles to above Annapolis, twelve months per year? Name one fishery that withstood such an onslaught over any extended time.
And we cheat ,too. We make a game over federal regulations designed to give the fish the smallest of breaks for a short portion of the year. We keep more than our limit or turn a blind eye to those in our ranks who flaunt the rules.
If we want to keep this fishery, then we need to begin by acknowledging our own shortcomings. We also need to give a little back. Maybe two large fish per day is not realistic. Do we honestly need to keep two large breeders per day? Will charter parties cancel if they can keep only one...are charter captains such poor marketers that they cannot book trips based on 1 large fish per person? Should Maryland allow so many juvenile fish to be caught? Should NJ have put comms out of business, only to allocate the entire commercial quota to recs?
Some folks will always be around who contend that the Striper population is just fine. At best, they will argue that we should not surrender an inch of our "freedom to fish" without very strong data indicating an imminent collapse. Those people ignore the fact that the hard scientific data -- the colorful tell-all charts -- lag years behind its collection. By the time the chart shows that a collapse is imminent, the collapse in the real oceans and bays and rivers will have already happened.
Fisheries don't slowly die. They decline for a few years, then fall off a cliff. To have any chance of success, we need to react early, when the troubling trends first appear, when the concerned reports from experienced anglers confirm those trends. Wait much longer and we won't be arguing about limiting our take....we'll be arguing about how long the moratorium will be and whether the charter and commercial Striper industries deserve a taxpayer bailout.
And if we're wrong and the Striper population turns out to be fine, then the worst that happens is that we've allowed the population to become even stronger. I don't know about you, but I'll take a few less fish in the cooler and more, bigger fish in the water over a moratorium any day.